1. 一次性塑料快餐盒定義及分類一次性塑料快餐盒是一種由聚丙烯樹脂或其他熱塑性材料經(jīng)高溫?zé)崛鬯芰献⑺艹尚图夹g(shù)加工而成的器具。就應(yīng)用而言，一次性塑料快餐盒可分為午餐盒、鮮切及腌制水果盒、半成品食品盒及其他。就原材料而言，一次性塑料快餐盒主要分類為聚丙烯(“P P”)快餐盒、聚苯乙烯(“ PS ”)快餐盒及發(fā)泡聚苯乙烯(“EPS”)快餐盒。與其他兩種原材料相比，PP塑料快餐盒耐熱性能高，是唯一一種能夠于微波爐加熱的快餐盒。PP塑料快餐盒因其化學(xué)穩(wěn)定性高及抗腐蝕性效果好，可適用于幾乎所有的食品及飲料。PP、PS及EPS降解的時(shí)間各不相同，視乎降解的環(huán)境條件而定。倘均于同一環(huán)境下填埋于填埋場(chǎng)，PP及PS塑料快餐盒分別需要約20至30年及40至50年降解，而EPS塑料快餐盒則需要上百年時(shí)間降解。然而，倘該等快餐盒暴露于特定元素，例如陽光、水分及空氣，則將會(huì)加快降解。同時(shí)，由于中國(guó)政府正積極大力投資環(huán)保，容易回收及可通過于生產(chǎn)快餐盒時(shí)加入降解材料(例如淀粉材料、光敏劑及生物抑制劑)加速分解的PP塑料快餐盒成為中國(guó)一次性塑料快餐盒行業(yè)的主流。然而，生物降解一次性塑料快餐盒的成本遠(yuǎn)高于傳統(tǒng)的一次性塑料快餐盒，因此生物降解一次性塑料快餐盒的普及度相對(duì)較低。

　　1. Definition and Classification of Disposable Plastic Fast Food Boxes Disposable plastic fast food boxes are appliances made of polypropylene resin or other thermoplastic materials processed by high-temperature hot melt plastic injection molding technology. In terms of application, disposable plastic fast food boxes can be divided into lunch boxes, fresh cut and pickled fruit boxes, semi-finished food boxes, and others. In terms of raw materials, disposable plastic fast food boxes are mainly classified into polypropylene ("PP") fast food boxes, polystyrene ("PS") fast food boxes, and expanded polystyrene ("EPS") fast food boxes. Compared with the other two raw materials, PP plastic fast food box has high heat resistance and is the only fast food box that can be heated in a microwave oven. PP plastic fast food boxes are suitable for almost all types of food and beverages due to their high chemical stability and good corrosion resistance. The degradation time of PP, PS, and EPS varies depending on the environmental conditions of degradation. If both are buried in the same environment in a landfill site, PP and PS plastic fast food boxes require about 20 to 30 years and 40 to 50 years to degrade, respectively, while EPS plastic fast food boxes require hundreds of years to degrade. However, if these fast food boxes are exposed to specific elements such as sunlight, moisture, and air, they will accelerate degradation. At the same time, due to the Chinese government's active investment in environmental protection, PP plastic fast food boxes that are easy to recycle and can be accelerated by adding degradable materials (such as starch materials, photosensitizers, and biological inhibitors) during the production of fast food boxes have become the main stream of China's disposable plastic fast food box industry. However, the cost of biodegradable disposable plastic fast food boxes is much higher than that of traditional disposable plastic fast food boxes, so the popularity of biodegradable disposable plastic fast food boxes is relatively low.

　　2. 產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈分析

　　2. Industry chain analysis

　　一次性塑料快餐盒行業(yè)價(jià)值鏈包括PP、PS及EPS上游供應(yīng)商，PP、PS及EPS為一次性塑料快餐盒的主要原材料。中游參與者指生產(chǎn)各種外觀及用途的一次性塑料快餐盒如液體食品及固體食品快餐盒制造商。下游應(yīng)用主要包括餐飲市場(chǎng)及食品外賣市場(chǎng)。

　　The value chain of the disposable plastic fast food box industry includes upstream suppliers of PP, PS, and EPS, which are the main raw materials for disposable plastic fast food boxes. Midstream participants refer to manufacturers of disposable plastic fast food boxes with various appearances and uses, such as liquid and solid food fast food boxes. The downstream applications mainly include the catering market and the food delivery market.

　　3. 中國(guó)一次性塑料快餐盒行業(yè)市場(chǎng)規(guī)模

　　3. Market size of disposable plastic fast food box industry in China

　　就2022年的銷售收益而言，中國(guó)是世界上一次性塑料快餐盒產(chǎn)量最大的國(guó)家，約占全球銷售收益的45.9%。近年來，隨著一次性塑料快餐盒行業(yè)主要應(yīng)用的食品外賣市場(chǎng)的快速發(fā)展、人口增長(zhǎng)及城鎮(zhèn)化率的提高，以及環(huán)保PP一次性塑料快餐盒的普及，中國(guó)的一次性塑料快餐盒行業(yè)的銷售收益經(jīng)歷了快速增長(zhǎng)。于2022年，預(yù)期一次性塑料快餐盒的銷售收益將達(dá)約人民幣191億元，2017年至2022年的復(fù)合年增長(zhǎng)率約為21.0 %。

　　In terms of sales revenue in 2022, China is the country with the largest production of disposable plastic fast food boxes in the world, accounting for approximately 45.9% of global sales revenue. In recent years, with the rapid development of the food delivery market, population growth and urbanization rate, as well as the popularity of environmentally friendly PP disposable plastic fast food boxes, the sales revenue of China's disposable plastic fast food box industry has experienced rapid growth. In 2022, it is expected that the sales revenue of disposable plastic fast food boxes will reach approximately RMB 19.1 billion, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 21.0% from 2017 to 2022.

　　于2022年，PP快餐盒于各類一次性塑料快餐盒中占比最大。2020年以來，在 COVID-19疫情爆發(fā)期間，由于堂食受限，更多餐廳開始提供外賣服務(wù)，因而一次性塑料快餐盒的銷售收益大幅增加。此外，為了滿足下游的旺盛需求，2020年以來更多的PP樹脂產(chǎn)能得以釋放，增加了PP一次性塑料快餐盒的產(chǎn)量。

　　In 2022, PP fast food boxes accounted for the largest proportion among various disposable plastic fast food boxes. Since 2020, during the outbreak of COVID-19, due to restrictions on dine in, more restaurants have started offering takeaway services, resulting in a significant increase in sales revenue for disposable plastic fast food boxes. In addition, in order to meet the strong demand downstream, more PP resin production capacity has been released since 2020, increasing the production of PP disposable plastic fast food boxes.

　　未來，預(yù)期食品外賣市場(chǎng)及餐飲市場(chǎng)將維持穩(wěn)定增長(zhǎng)，且預(yù)計(jì)鮮切水果及半成品食物等非餐館食物的流行將刺激一次性塑料快餐盒的需求。于2027年，預(yù)期一次性塑料快餐盒的銷售收益將達(dá)約人民幣297億元，2022年至2027年的復(fù)合年增長(zhǎng)率約為9.2%。于2027年，PP快餐盒預(yù)計(jì)將于一次性塑料快餐盒行業(yè)占得優(yōu)勢(shì)，其市場(chǎng)份額約為74.7%。

　　In the future, it is expected that the food delivery market and catering market will maintain stable growth, and the popularity of non restaurant foods such as fresh cut fruits and semi-finished foods is expected to stimulate the demand for disposable plastic fast food boxes. By 2027, it is expected that the sales revenue of disposable plastic fast food boxes will reach approximately RMB 29.7 billion, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 9.2% from 2022 to 2027. By 2027, PP fast food boxes are expected to have an advantage in the disposable plastic fast food box industry, with a market share of approximately 74.7%.

　　根據(jù)弗若斯特沙利文報(bào)告，目前，盡管一些替代品可能會(huì)擠壓PP一次性塑料快餐盒的市場(chǎng)份額，如紙質(zhì)餐盒及淀粉基餐盒，但PP一次性塑料快餐盒在預(yù)測(cè)期內(nèi)(2027年之前)無法被完全取代，主要由于中餐的高油量、高溫和液態(tài)形式，而紙質(zhì)餐盒、淀粉基餐盒的穩(wěn)定性、耐熱性及密封性能較差。在預(yù)測(cè)期內(nèi)(2027之前)，中國(guó)人的用餐習(xí)慣預(yù)計(jì)保持不變，PP一次性塑料快餐盒仍將是食品外賣市場(chǎng)上最合適的餐盒。

　　According to the Frost Sullivan report, currently, although some alternatives may squeeze the market share of PP disposable plastic fast food boxes, such as paper meal boxes and starch based meal boxes, PP disposable plastic fast food boxes cannot be completely replaced during the forecast period (before 2027), mainly due to the high oil content, high temperature, and liquid form of Chinese food, while the stability, heat resistance, and sealing performance of paper meal boxes and starch based meal boxes are poor. During the forecast period (before 2027), the eating habits of Chinese people are expected to remain unchanged, and PP disposable plastic fast food boxes will still be the most suitable ones in the food delivery market.

　　4. 原材料價(jià)格

　　4. Raw material prices

　　PP是生產(chǎn)一次性塑料快餐盒的主要原料之一。2021年前，PP的平均價(jià)格受原油價(jià)格波動(dòng)的影響。2022年，由于緊張的國(guó)際局勢(shì)及俄烏戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)，原油平均價(jià)格飆升，由于俄羅斯是僅次于沙特阿拉伯的世界第二大原油出口國(guó)。2022年，PP的平均價(jià)格下降至每噸約人民幣8,254.5元左右，主要由于PP釋放更多產(chǎn)能及PP供需穩(wěn)定。2022年，PP一次性塑料快餐盒的平均價(jià)格范圍為每個(gè)人民幣0.06元至人民幣1.65元。未來，PP的平均價(jià)格預(yù)計(jì)保持相對(duì)穩(wěn)定，2022年至2027年的復(fù)合年增長(zhǎng)率約為0.7%， 2027年將達(dá)到約每噸人民幣8,551.0元。

　　PP is one of the main raw materials for producing disposable plastic fast food boxes. Before 2021, the average price of PP was affected by fluctuations in crude oil prices. In 2022, due to the tense international situation and the Russia Ukraine war, the average price of crude oil soared, as Russia is the world's second largest crude oil exporter after Saudi Arabia. In 2022, the average price of PP will decrease to around RMB 8254.5 per ton, mainly due to the release of more production capacity and stable supply and demand of PP. In 2022, the average price range for PP disposable plastic fast food boxes is between RMB 0.06 and RMB 1.65 per box. In the future, the average price of PP is expected to remain relatively stable, with a compound annual growth rate of about 0.7% from 2022 to 2027, and will reach approximately RMB 8551.0 per ton by 2027.

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